The number-crunchers cleanly triumphed over the pundits this election. Election forecasters Nate Silver, Sam Wang, Simon Jackman, Drew Linzer — they all successfully used statistical models to predict a win for President Obama. Meanwhile, pundits like George Will and Dick Morris seemed old-fashioned in their predictions for a Romney victory, based largely on hunches, according to The Chronicle of Higher Education. These days the more dependable oracle appears to be “examining the data in a systematic, rigorous fashion” rather than relying on “gut feeling and political convictions,” the Chronicle observes.
Pundits Lost the Election to Poll Quants (The Chronicle of Higher Education)
November 9, 2012 By Leave a Comment